http://snap.stanford.edu/soma2010/papers/soma2010_16.pdf
Rapid response to a health epidemic is critical to reduce loss
of life. Existing methods mostly rely on expensive surveys
of hospitals across the country, typically with lag times of
one to two weeks for influenza reporting, and even longer
for less common diseases. In response, there have been
several recently proposed solutions to estimate a population’s health from Internet activity, most notably Google’s
Flu Trends service, which correlates search term frequency
with influenza statistics reported by the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention (CDC). In this paper, we analyze
messages posted on the micro-blogging site Twitter.com to
determine if a similar correlation can be uncovered. We
propose several methods to identify influenza-related messages and compare a number of regression models to correlate these messages with CDC statistics. Using over 500,000
messages spanning 10 weeks, we find that our best model
achieves a correlation of .78 with CDC statistics by leveraging a document classifier to identify relevant messages.
Twitter Catches The Flu: Detecting Influenza Epidemics using Twitter
http://www.aclweb.org/anthology/D/D11/D11-1145.pdf
With the recent rise in popularity and scale
of social media, a growing need exists for
systems that can extract useful information
from huge amounts of data. We address the
issue of detecting influenza epidemics.
First, the proposed system extracts influenza related tweets using Twitter API. Then,
only tweets that mention actual influenza
patients are extracted by the support vector
machine (SVM) based classifier. The experiment results demonstrate the feasibility
of the proposed approach (0.89 correlation
to the gold standard). Especially at the outbreak and early spread (early epidemic
stage), the proposed method shows high
correlation (0.97 correlation), which outperforms the state-of-the-art methods. This
paper describes that Twitter texts reflect
the real world, and that NLP techniques
can be applied to extract only tweets that
contain useful information.
TWITTER IMPROVES SEASONAL INFLUENZA PREDICTION
http://www.cs.uml.edu/~hachreka/SNEFT/images/healthinf_2012.pdf
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